Publicly Traded Analog Semiconductor Industry Report: Winter 2023 Results

Recent Winter earnings results of the Top 5 Publicly Traded Analog Semiconductor companies by YoY revenues were mostly down across the board in the October-December quarter, according to their latest earnings releases.

Of the publicly traded Analog Semiconductor companies who released Winter 2023 earnings results, only NXP Semiconductors increased their YoY revenues by 3.30%

Bar graph of the top 5 analog semiconductor companies by yoy revenues

Analog Devices had the most contraction in YoY revenues at -22.7% followed by Texas Instruments behind at -12.7%.

The following sections are covered in this report [Click to Skip Ahead]:

Company revenues, earnings, and stock forecasts covered:

The list below only includes the top five Analog Semiconductor companies by revenue. The next section will include all relevant >$15B market cap publicly traded analog semiconductors.

CompanyDecember 2022December 2023YOY
Texas Instruments$4,670$4,077-12.70%
Infineon Technologies AG$4,230$4,086-6.30%
ST Microelectronics$4,408$4,262-3.20%
NXP Semiconductors$3,312$3,422 3.30%
Analog Devices$3,249$2,512-22.70%
*In millions

Texas Instruments reported another -12.70% decrease in YoY revenues in their latest Q4 2023 with sequential revenue down by -10%. The recent quarter saw continued weakness across industries and a sequential decline in automotive. Also, order cancellations remain high as customers continue adjusting their inventory levels. However, operating cash flow remained resilient, with a free cash flow margin for the quarter of 19%, which management attributed to its still highly profitable business and lower inventory build-up.

Infineon Technologies AG saw revenues decrease by -6.30% YoY with sequential revenue down by -11%. Management pointed out the slowdown in demand in electromobility (automotive) outside of China, contributing to the decline in revenues. Their computing and communication segments are still declining, with management not expecting any recovery until the second half of the calendar year.

ST Microelectronics recorded a 3.2% YOY revenue decrease with a -3.4% decline Q/Q. The lower quarterly revenues were caused by a softer growth rate in the automotive segment, with higher revenue in personal electronics. However, the company continues to see a stable end-demand in automotive and further deterioration in industrials.

NXP Semiconductors reported a 3.3% YOY increase in revenues, with management pointing out strong execution, consistent gross margin, and healthy free cash flow despite a challenging semiconductor environment. However, operating income is down -7% YOY.

Analog Devices saw YOY revenues decline by -22.7%, but has continued growth in their Automotive segment. However, management was optimistic and expected customers’ inventory rationalization to largely subside in the next quarter.

Key Takeaway

The recent quarter of the semiconductor companies above has shown weakness in all industry segments (automotive, industrial, personal electronics, etc.). With automotive just starting to slow down in demand compared to last quarter, others have continued to decelerate and are showing in the earnings of semiconductor companies covered. Cost optimizations and fewer shipments have somehow dampened the weak earnings.

Biggest Publicly Traded Analog Semiconductor Companies by Market Share

The graph below comprises >$15B market cap publicly traded analog semiconductor companies as of February 2024.

pie chart of publicly traded analog semiconductor companies market share revenues

Leading the group this time is Infineon Technologies AG with roughly 19.6% market share, followed closely by Texas Instruments with 19.4%, and trailing a bit just behind is ST Microelectronics with 19.0% of Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) revenue share of all publicly traded analog semiconductor companies.

CompanyRevenues (TTM in Thousands)Mkt Share
Infineon Technologies AG$17,730,18319.6%
Texas Instruments$17,519,00019.4%
ST Microelectronics$17,239,00019.0%
NXP Semiconductors$13,276,00014.7%
Analog Devices$11,568,61312.8%
Microchip Technology$8,541,3009.4%
Skyworks Solutions$4,644,6005.1%

Top Analog Semiconductor Companies by Revenue Growth

In the previous three fiscal years, Analog Devices still outperformed its peers in the analog semiconductor industry with 25.46% CAGR.

Meanwhile, ST Microelectronics is leading in boosting its year-over-year annual revenue growth of 7.18% from 2022-2023.

bar chart of top analog semiconductor companies by revenue growth

Infineon Technologies AG takes the number two spot in 3yr CAGR with 20.05%, while behind is ST Microelectronics and Microchip Technology with 19.15% and 17.26% 3yr CAGR, respectively.

Company3yr CAGR1yr Growth YOY
Analog Devices25.46%-8.03%
Infineon Technologies AG20.05% 7.00%
ST Microelectronics19.00% 7.18%
Microchip Technology17.26% 6.10%
NXP Semiconductors15.52% 0.54%
Texas Instruments 6.60%-12.44%
Skyworks Solutions 5.37%-12.53%

Key Takeaway

The data above shows the massive deceleration in earnings across the top publicly traded analog semiconductor companies. Compared to the previous quarter, where the automotive industry was still holding strong, the current quarter shows otherwise, and revenues across all analog semiconductor segments are either flat or declining. However, several management teams of companies are optimistic this year as inventory reduction bottoms up, and the cycle will turn again.

Top Analog Semiconductor Companies by Earnings (EPS) Growth

In the previous three fiscal years, NXP Semiconductors saw the highest 3 year annual compounded growth rate of a whopping 290.27% in earnings per share. The context behind it is provided in the caption of the graph below.

All publicly traded analog semiconductor companies in the list recorded high 3yr CAGR EPS growth with a median of 34.5% excluding NXP Semiconductors.

Bar chart of top analog semiconductors by earnings growth
*Note: NXP’s meteoric rise in EPS is attributed to its FY 2020 low base with amortization of Goodwill and intangible assets pulled forward as expenses that year.

Among the companies in the above graph, Infineon Technologies AG had the highest 1-year EPS YOY growth rate of 23.22%.

The highest 3-year EPS CAGR companies in the list excluding NXP Semiconductors are Infineon Technologies AG at 97.76%, Microchip Technology at 88.99%, and ST Microelectronics at 54.90%.

Company3yr EPS CAGR1yr EPS YOY
NXP Semiconductors290.27%1.42%
Infineon Technologies AG97.76%23.22%
Microchip Technology88.99%15.75%
ST Microelectronics54.90%-5.91%
Analog Devices14.10%-15.25%
Texas Instruments5.80%-24.83%
Skyworks Solutions-3.75%-23.02%

Analog Semiconductor Companies Revenue, Earnings and Stock Forecast (Quarter ending December 2023)

CompanyYOY EPS Forecast
Texas Instruments-41.01%
Analog Devices-55.14%
NXP Semiconductors-0.44%
Infineon Technologies AG-47.57%
Microchip Technology-27.62%
This list only includes the top 5 Analog companies by market capitalization as of February 2024.

Texas Instruments (TXN) Revenue, Earnings, and Stock Forecast

Texas Instruments’ revenue over the latest Trailing Twelve Month period was $17.5 billion. Texas Instruments’ earnings (Net Income) over the latest Trailing Twelve Month period was $6.5 billion.

The Wall Street consensus for Texas Instruments’ EPS (earnings per share) projection for the next quarter is $1.09. The company’s TTM (trailing twelve months) Earnings Per Share was $7.10 as of the quarter ending December 30, 2023.

Texas Instruments is expected to see a contraction in earnings per share of -41.01% YOY in the next quarter based on the consensus of stock market analyst forecasts.

Analog Devices (ADI) Revenue, Earnings, and Stock Forecast

Analog Devices’ revenue over the latest Trailing Twelve Month period was $11.6 billion. Analog Devices’ earnings (Net Income) over the latest Trailing Twelve Month period was $2.8 billion.

The Wall Street consensus for Analog Devices’ EPS (earnings per share) projection for the next quarter is $1.27. The company’s TTM (trailing twelve months) Earnings Per Share was $5.60 as of the quarter ending December 30, 2023.

Analog Devices is expected to see a contraction in earnings per share of -55.14% YOY in the next quarter based on the consensus of stock market analyst forecasts.

NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) Revenue, Earnings, and Stock Forecast

NXP Semiconductors’ revenue over the latest Trailing Twelve Month period was $13.3 billion. NXP Semiconductors’ earnings (Net Income) over the latest Trailing Twelve Month period was $2.8 billion.

The Wall Street consensus for Analog Devices’ EPS (earnings per share) projection for the next quarter is $3.18. The company’s TTM (trailing twelve months) Earnings Per Share was $10.80 as of the quarter ending December 30, 2023.

NXP Semiconductors is expected to see a contraction in earnings per share of -0.44% YOY in the next quarter based on the consensus of stock market analyst forecasts.

Infineon Technologies AG (IFX) Revenue, Earnings, and Stock Forecast

Infineon Technologies AG’s revenue over the latest Trailing Twelve Month period was $16.1 billion. Infineon Technologies AG’s earnings (Net Income) over the latest Trailing Twelve Month period was $3.0 billion.

The Wall Street consensus for Infineon Technologies AG’s EPS (earnings per share) projection for the next quarter is $0.40. The company’s TTM (trailing twelve months) Earnings Per Share was $2.30 as of the quarter ending December 30, 2023.

Infineon Technologies AG is expected to see a contraction in earnings per share of -47.57% YOY in the next quarter based on the consensus of stock market analyst forecasts.

Microchip Technology (MCHP) Revenue, Earnings, and Stock Forecast

Microchip Technology’s revenue over the latest Trailing Twelve Month period was $8.5 billion. Microchip Technology’s earnings (Net Income) over the latest Trailing Twelve Month period was $2.4 billion.

The Wall Street consensus for Microchip Technology’s EPS (earnings per share) projection for the next quarter is $0.57. The company’s TTM (trailing twelve months) Earnings Per Share was $4.30 as of the quarter ending December 30, 2023.

Microchip Technology is expected to see a contraction in earnings per share of -65.03% YOY in the next quarter based on the consensus of stock market analyst forecasts.

Methodology

All data mentioned in this article was sourced from publicly available filings and releases and processed by investment newsletter provider Sather Research, LLC.

Stock forecasts and analyst consensus EPS growth estimates were sourced from data provided by Seeking Alpha.

Contact Seoshin Chil at [email protected] for any further commentary, concerns, questions, or feedback. Alternatively, you can get in touch with the company during business hours through our contact page, or call 888-978-1348 from Monday – Friday; 9AM EST – 5:00 PM EST.

Seoshin Chil

Seoshin is an active sailor in offshore windfarm vessels but has a passion for studying great businesses and investing in them. Being always at sea does not stop him from doing so!

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